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Property DamageBy causeBy causeCasualtiesBy causePhilippine Sea plateNankaiTroughPacific plateSagami TroughIPacficPateOgzu-asra ilTrench4awaJapan Trench〔Earthquke directly hitting Tokyo〕Southern Tokyo Inland Earthquake (M7.3)approx. 194,431approx. 82,199approx. 112,232approx. 6,148 approx. 3,666 approx. 2,482approx. 93,435approx. 83,489approx. 9,947approx. 2,990,000approx. 4,530,000Earthquake beneath Tama (M7.3)approx. 161,516approx. 70,108approx. 91,408approx. 4,986approx. 3,068approx. 1,918 approx. 81,609approx. 74,341approx. 7,269approx. 2,760,000〔Submarine trench earthquake〕〔Earthquake occurring in an active fault〕Tachikawa Fault Zone Great Kanto Earthquake (M8-class)approx. 54,962approx. 28,319approx. 26,643 approx. 1,777approx. 1,221approx. 556approx. 38,746 approx. 37,070approx. 1,676approx. 1,510,000Earthquake (M7.4)approx. 51,928approx. 16,066 approx. 35,862approx. 1,490 approx. 716 approx. 775approx. 19,229approx. 16,672approx. 2,556 approx. 590,000 Epicenters of earthquakes that occur in the southern Kanto area① Earthquake shallow in the Earth’s crust② Earthquake at the boundary between the Philippine Sea plate and the North American plate③ Earthquake within the Philippine Sea plate④ Earthquake at the boundary betweenthe Philippine Sea plate and the Pacific plate ⑤ Earthquake within the Pacific plate⑥ Earthquake at the boundary between the Philippine Sea Plate and North American Plate and Pacific Plate North American plate[Plate boundaries in the Kanto area] Eurasian PlatePhilippine Sea PlateNorth American PlateTotal Buildings DamagedQuakeFireTotal DeathsQuakeFireTotal InjuredQuakeFireEvacueesStranded persons[Types of earthquakes that occur in the southern Kanto area] (Source: Cabinet Office website) Examples of assumed earthquakes (from Damage Estimates in Tokyo due to an Earthquake Directly Hitting Tokyo (May 2022))　An earthquake directly hitting the southern part of Tokyo, which is expected to cause the greatest damage, is an intra-plate earthquake with an epicenter region in the southern part of the ward area, and about 60% of the ward area will have a seismic intensity of 6-upper or greater. The area of with a seismic intensity of 7 is about 14 ㎢ and a seismic intensity of 6 is about 388 ㎢.　The probability of an M7-class earthquake occurring in the southern Kanto region within the next 30 years is thought to be 70% (according to the Head-quarter for Earthquake Research Promotion). 　In 2022, TMG revised for the first time in ten years its Damage Estimates in Tokyo due to an Earthquake Directly Hitting Tokyo (published in 2012) and Damage Estimates in Tokyo due to a Major Nankai Trough Earthquake (published in 2013), which were formulated in response to the Great East Japan Earth-quake. This is outlined as follows.　　　* Totals may not add up due to rounding to the nearest whole number.　　　* Shaking, etc. includes damage from liquefaction, steep slopes, etc.　Estimated Damage to Tokyo（A）Damage Estimation